Saturday, October 30, 2010

Dolla Dolla Bills Yall: Week 8 NFL Spread Picks

Welcome to the Halloween edition of DDBY! If you think the above costume is cool or funny, please go and toss yourself off a building. That costume is atrociously stereotypical and should not be forced on the eyes of anyone. Why are there so many awful costumes every year? If you're going to dress up and take part in the festivities, have some originality! Don't be like fake Cole Hamels here.

As a young lad, I was Rambo for Halloween once. It was quite badass if I do say so myself. If I had a picture, I'd attach it. I was like 7 shark years old, and had a way better costume that all those other kids swimming around as pirates and vampires. Ah, memories...

Last week we went 7-7 bringing us to 58-41-5 on the year. Not a fantastic showing, but the Shark has yet to finish any week below .500.  Hit the jump for this week's winners. 

Broncos (+1) over 49ers
No home field advantage here as this game is taking in place in London. I have to wonder: who the hell chooses these matchups? Shouldn't we be sending two marquee teams to show off the NFL product at it's best? This game wouldn't even make the air in the U.S. outside of the SF and Denver local markets. Doesn't make sense to me. But I guess since they're use to teams like the Reign Fire, they probably won't notice the difference.

COWBOYS (-6.5) over Jaguars
The majority of the public is backing the Jaguars. Never thought I'd see the day. But I think the Cowboys are going to win this game handily for a several reasons: 1) They're at home. 2) The team will come out with a "Let's rally around Jon Kitna!" emotion. 3) David Garrard will start at QB for the Jaguars after sitting out with injury (not a good thing for Jacksonville). 4) The Jaguars pass defense is absolutely horrendous.

LIONS (-3) over Redskins
The Redskins should win this game, but I just don't think they will. Check out a few of these Vegas stats: The Redskins are 6-18-3 ATS vs a team with a losing record. In head to head matchups between these two teams, the Home team has covered in 7 out of the last 9.

Packers (+6) over JETS
The Jets have played great and may be at home, but 6 points is too much. Don't underestimate Aaron Rodgers and a defense that is getting back to full strength. Think about it - would you be at all surprised if the Packers won 17-14 with a late touchdown or field goal? I'm sure you wouldn't be. So why would you even think about laying 6 with Jets? Cause you're silly, that's why.

RAMS (-3) over Panthers
This is a shady ass line. Against my better judgment, I'll bet on the Rams here. They're the better team and have played extremely well at home. I just have a bad feeling. If I were you, I wouldn't bet it. If you must, take the team that has been more consistent.

Dolphins (+1.5) over BENGALS
As you know, I hate the overrated Bengals. Things aren't changing this week. The Dolphins are a better team than most people give them credit for, and they should've won last week against Pittsburgh. The Bengals give me nothing to like and are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

CHIEFS (-7.5) over Bills
Now that I'm finally picking the Chiefs, you do realize they'll lose this game 27-10, don't you? I promised I'd pick them in Week 8 if they proved me wrong again, so I'll stay true to my word. The Chiefs are 5-1 against the spread this year and I'm quite sure I've gotten all those games wrong. They're at home against a Bills team that cannot stop the run. 8 points is a lot and I'll probably be bitching next week, but mark it down for K.C.

CHARGERS (-3.5) over Titans
San Diego screwed me over last week, but truuust me, they got this against the Titties. The Chargers are at home and have their backs against the wall after suffering a loss at the hands of the Patriots. I have to believe they'll come out firing and not make this game much of a contest. This is one of my favorite plays of the week.

CARDINALS (-3) over Buccaneers
Both of these aren't very good. I think the Buccaneers got a little overrated early on this season, but I feel these teams are pretty evenly matched. Go with the home team and take solace in the fact that Beanie Wells should have his first big game of the year. He should easily rack up yards against the Bucs terrible run defense.

Seahawks (+3) over RAIDERS
As sad as it is to say this, the Seahawks may actually win their division. I feel dirty saying that. On a side note, Marshawn Lynch is the ugliest player in the NFL, right? He could even be in the top 3 of all-time ugly sports figures. He falls right in line with some of the past ugly-face greats: Sam Cassell and Tyrone Hill. Anyway, the Raiders just scream let down after blowing their load against the Broncos last week. Seahawks should win easy.

Vikings (+5) over PATRIOTS
I hate having to pick this game. The Vikings have the pieces but keep forcing the square peg in the round hole. The Patriots defense just makes nervous. Regardless of opponent, they are susceptible to giving up big plays. Take the points and hope the Randy Moss revenge factor is the difference. A completely focused and motivated Randy Moss is still the best receiver in football.

Steelers (-1) over SAINTS
I feel like I might be walking into a trap, but simply put, the Steelers are the superior team. Drew Brees has looked bad against defensive units that aren't nearly as good as the one he'll face Sunday.

COLTS (-5.5) over Texans
I was tempted to go with the Texans here, but then remembered one of the Shark's golden rules: Never, under any circumstances, bet against Peyton Manning in nationally televised primetime game. Ever.

Good luck and enjoy the games!

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